AI Agent Market Size: Why $1T by 2031 is Unlikely

AI Agent Market Size是這篇文章討論的核心
No. Credible market-research forecasts put the global AI / autonomous agents market in the **tens of billions of dollars** by 2030–2031, far below the $1 trillion threshold.

Representative forecasts from major research firms:
– **Grand View Research**: from USD 3.9B (2022) to **USD 70.5B by 2030** (42.8% CAGR)
– **MarketsandMarkets**: USD 7.84B in 2025 → **USD 52.62B by 2030** (46.3% CAGR)
– **The Business Research Company**: **USD 53.20B by 2030** (44.9% CAGR)
– **KBV Research**: **USD 51.2B by 2030** (~40.7% CAGR)
– **BCC Research**: from USD 8B (2025) to **USD 48.3B by 2030** (43.3% CAGR)
– **Mordor Intelligence**: USD 5.83B (2026) → **USD 23.32B by 2031** (31.95% CAGR)

Although growth is very rapid (CAGR often 30–46%), even the most bullish 2030 figures are roughly **15–40× smaller** than $1 trillion. A $1T valuation would require an unprecedented acceleration in adoption, pricing, and market definition.

Key drivers behind the strong but sub-trillion growth include enterprise workflow automation, generative-AI integration, cloud-native deployment, and advances in NLP and autonomous decision-making.

Sources: BCC Research, Grand View Research, MarketsandMarkets, The Business Research Company, KBV Research, Mordor Intelligence.

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